Associated Press

2024 - 11 - 6

Elections Decoded: How the AP Calls Winners Without the Crystal Ball!

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Ever wondered why the Associated Press is the go-to for election results? Here’s the inside scoop on their winning formula!

When it comes to election nights, the Associated Press (AP) has been leading the pack in delivering results with unmatched accuracy for over 170 years. While many outlets rely on projections and forecasts, the AP takes a refreshingly different approach by making declarations based strictly on the numbers crunched from real-time vote counts. Their method might feel a bit ‘analog’ in today’s digital world, but the AP’s commitment to mathematical precision is what sets them apart in the chaotic frenzy of election reporting.

So how does the AP call winners? Well, it’s not just about counting votes in a high-tech room full of screens. Their seasoned journalists and analysts employ traditional tools, including good old-fashioned whiteboards, to keep track of results. Imagine a newsroom where a few dedicated folks are working diligently to make sense of the avalanche of data coming their way. At the heart of it, it's about analyzing trends and looking for patterns as the ballots are counted across nearly 7,000 races in real time, including everything from presidential down to local elections.

Understanding this method brings us to the concept of the ‘red mirage’—a term often thrown around during elections when initial results might suggest one outcome before flipping later in the night. This is where the AP shines, maintaining a cool head amidst the rapidly changing landscape of results. Their focus is on providing voters with the most comprehensive and factual information, helping them grasp the complexities of electoral shifts.

In today’s fast-paced digital age, the AP stands as a bastion of integrity. They rely primarily on concrete data and statistical analysis rather than speculation, offering a reassuring look at democracy in action. And remember, folks, when it comes to calling winners, the AP doesn’t crack jokes—unless it’s with a whiteboard marker on election night!

**Did you know?** The Associated Press has its own in-house systems called "AP VoteCast" and "AP Election Results" that specifically gather information from voters directly, ensuring their data is as accurate as possible. Also, their commitment to neutrality means that they don’t endorse candidates, keeping their focus squarely on reporting the facts without bias. So next time you tune into the election results, you’ll know just how the AP is setting the standard for journalism in a highly charged field!

How the Associated Press reports election results differently from ... (NPR)

Here at NPR, we rely on the Associated Press for our election results. The news agency doesn't make projections, but rather declarations based on math.

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Image courtesy of "The Guardian"

'It is a little analog': how the Associated Press calls election winners ... (The Guardian)

AP's David Scott talks about how the newsroom predicts who won, the 'red mirage' and one county's whiteboard.

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Image courtesy of "masslive.com"

This is how the Associated Press calls election winners (masslive.com)

The Associated Press has compiled vote results and declared winners in elections for more than 170 years. How?

The Associated Press' role in calling races and polling voters (KGET 17)

On this episode of The Story Behind the AP Story, a recurring audio production that features extended interviews with AP journalists, vice president of news ...

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Image courtesy of "WDTN.com"

How the Associated Press determines race winners on Election Day (WDTN.com)

On election night, the AP will count the vote in nearly 7,000 races, delivering the results up and down the ballot from president, governor and Congress to ...

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Image courtesy of "WUSA9.com"

How the AP is able to declare winners in states where polls just closed (WUSA9.com)

In the 2024 general election, the AP is declaring winners in nearly 2,000 uncontested races, compared with about 4,500 contested races. Author: Robert Yoon ...

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Image courtesy of "NBC4 WCMH-TV"

How the Associated Press determines race winners on Election Day (NBC4 WCMH-TV)

On election night, the AP will count the vote in nearly 7,000 races, delivering the results up and down the ballot from president, governor and Congress to ...

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Image courtesy of "WWNO"

The Associated Press will not make calls in two swing states anytime ... (WWNO)

In Arizona, reporting of “late earlies” is next. These are mail ballots that arrived on Election Day or the weekend prior. In order to determine who won these ...

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Image courtesy of "pressherald.com"

How the Associated Press is able to declare winners in states just ... (pressherald.com)

The AP considers multiple factors and analyzes available data before determining whether a winner can be declared when polls close in a given state.

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Image courtesy of "The Associated Press"

How the AP is able to declare winners in states where polls just closed (The Associated Press)

Many of the races called just as the polls close are uncontested elections where only one candidate appears on the ballot and is therefore the only possible ...

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