El Nino

“Long-range forecasts show there's an increased chance of below average rainfall for most of Australia during autumn 2023,” Dr Watkins said. “But the northern ...

El Niño WATCH means there is a 50% chance of El Niño in 2023. The event saw a higher than average rainfall in many parts of the country, including South Australia. While the Pacific Ocean is ENSO-neutral, the Bureau has moved to El Niño WATCH as there are there are some signs of El Niño forming later in the year.

Dr Watkins said while long-range forecasts showed an increased chance of below average rainfall for most of Australia during autumn, the northern wet season ...

Alex covers science and environment issues, with a focus on local Canberra stories. If the chance of El Nino forming in 2023 increases to 70 per cent, the bureau will change from watch to alert status. La Nina is the cool phase of the El Nino-Southern Oscillation, while El Nino is the warm phase. Australia could be headed for a hot and dry rest of the year with the Bureau of Meteorology declaring a 50 per cent chance of El Nino in 2023. El Nino-Southern Oscillation describes a naturally occurring cycle in the climate system, including the location of warmer or cooler than average sea surface temperatures in the central and eastern tropical Pacific Ocean, and its connection with the trade winds and patterns in the atmosphere. "All it takes is a dry winter and spring, which is probable with an El Nino, and all that excess vegetation will be fuel for summer bushfires."

The Bureau of Meteorology issued an El Nino watch on Tuesday, after long-range forecasts revealed a 50 per cent chance of the warmer, drier weather pattern ...

Three events – in February/March, July and October – were responsible for 40 per cent of the rain. Some grape growers lost half their crops. The Antarctic also broke records for loss of sea ice in 2022 and that has continued, with sea ice extent falling to a record low in 2023. In the first couple of weeks of 2022, large hail caused widespread damage to potato crops in Victoria and citrus and grape crops in NSW. A complicated mix of weather events led to falling heat records in Western Australia in the summer of 2021-22. The same month also brought the collapse of a part of the East Antarctic ice shelf the size of New York City, with the heat also driving the collapse of the Conger ice shelf. Heatwaves are now one of the most deadly natural hazards in Australia and they are expected to continue to worsen as the climate warms. A Rossby wave breaking event, south of Australia, was one of the main drivers of the weather that inundated so much of Queensland and NSW in February and March. The northern NSW town of Lismore was at the heart of a devastating series of storms that flooded south-east Queensland and NSW in the first half of 2022. Here’s a look at some of the events examined in the State of Climate and Weather Extremes 2022 report. Rossby waves are building blocks of weather and are high-altitude, planetary-scale waves that largely drive a range of weather at the surface level, according to the report. After two years of heavy rain and record floods across the eastern states, La Nina is finally over but authorities warn more extreme weather could be on the way in the form of a drought.

“La Niña has ended in the tropical Pacific Ocean. The El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is now neutral (neither La Niña nor El Niño),” the Bureau said in a ...

“La Niña has ended in the tropical Pacific Ocean. The end of La Niña has been officially confirmed by the Australian Board of Meteorology (BOM), following previous updates by the US and Japanese agencies at the end of last week. La Niña officially ends, 50% of El Niño forming in 2023: BOM

Severe flooding in Brisbane, Australia in February 2022. The Australian Bureau of Meteorology joined their US counterparts, the National Oceanographic ...

Australia could be headed for a hot and dry rest of the year with the Bureau of Meteorology declaring a 50 per cent chance of El Nino in 2023.

Alex covers science and environment issues, with a focus on local Canberra stories. If the chance of El Nino forming in 2023 increases to 70 per cent, the bureau will change from watch to alert status. La Nina is the cool phase of the El Nino-Southern Oscillation, while El Nino is the warm phase. Australia could be headed for a hot and dry rest of the year with the Bureau of Meteorology declaring a 50 per cent chance of El Nino in 2023. El Nino-Southern Oscillation describes a naturally occurring cycle in the climate system, including the location of warmer or cooler than average sea surface temperatures in the central and eastern tropical Pacific Ocean, and its connection with the trade winds and patterns in the atmosphere. "All it takes is a dry winter and spring, which is probable with an El Nino, and all that excess vegetation will be fuel for summer bushfires."

La Niña was in part responsible for record-breaking rain in Australia, active hurricane seasons, and drought in East Africa. A cooling of the Pacific Ocean, it ...

As the Pacific Ocean warms, this extra heat is released into the atmosphere just as a boiling pan of water lets off steam and raises the temperature in a kitchen. Beyond that there are some predictions of a warming in the Pacific leading to El Niño developing by late summer, so BOM have issued an "El Niño watch", which means there's a 50% chance of El Niño developing. In February and early March the sea surface temperature in eastern parts of the Pacific Ocean have been rising and now Australia's Bureau of Meteorology (BOM) and the National Oceanographic Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) in the US have declared ENSO has being "neutral", so neither La Niña or El Niño. The most severe impact of this period of La Niña has been in eastern Australia, which saw severe flooding and record-breaking rainfall in 2022. La Niña is the phase of the El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) where waters in the Pacific Ocean are cooler than average, the opposite of the warmer El Niño phase. ENSO would normally transition from La Niña to El Niño every two to five years but in 2022, the waters cooled in the Pacific for a third consecutive year bringing a rare

Dr Watkins said while long-range forecasts showed an increased chance of below average rainfall for most of Australia during autumn, the northern wet season ...

Our new comment platform requires only one log-in to access articles and to join the discussion on The Canberra Times website. [how to register](https://www.canberratimes.com.au/story/7739877/canberra-times-launches-new-commenting-platform/) so you can enjoy civil, friendly and engaging discussions. We've made it a whole lot easier for you to have your say. Alex covers science and environment issues, with a focus on local Canberra stories. Australia could be headed for a hot and dry rest of the year with the Bureau of Meteorology declaring a 50 per cent chance of El Nino in 2023. La Nina is the cool phase of the El Nino-Southern Oscillation, while El Nino is the warm phase.

Ring the bells, pop the Champers because lo, and behold folks: La Niña is officially over. Please, excuse us while we sing this from the rooftop of the Sydney ...

Please, excuse us while we sing this from the rooftop of the [Sydney Tower Eye](https://www.timeout.com/sydney/museums/sydney-tower-eye). [La Niña](https://www.timeout.com/sydney/news/its-official-la-ninya-is-returning-for-the-third-summer-in-a-row-091322) is officially over. Known for bringing extremely dry and hot conditions to Australia, El Niño was responsible for the Black Summer bushfires on the east coast between 2019 and 2020. According to BOM’s averaging of international model forecasts, it looks like it’s possible that El Niño will be officially declared in August. According to BOM, there’s no rest for the wicked, with them announcing an official ‘El Niño’ watch for 2023. This being said, things aren’t always going to be one-hundred-per cent hunky dory.

The Bureau of Meteorology has announced that the 2022–2023 La Niña has ended. The tropical Pacific Ocean is now in a neutral phase – neither La Niña nor El ...

[www.bom.gov.au/climate/enso/](https://461ae5590bfd4d459a74a617f5dda081.svc.dynamics.com/t/t/EWxxmcn3XELsAZkY3jMix8aKSnk3wmuZLbjnAkDFmC8x/SZDt8nNP7WxzK7BUGCtnLTSgwU0cxlRne48MytbVB0ox?targetUrl=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.bom.gov.au%2Fclimate%2Fenso%2F) [www.bom.gov.au/climate/about/](https://461ae5590bfd4d459a74a617f5dda081.svc.dynamics.com/t/t/p5OWNuvVHHyUalbnQrLvWSV7LFATj2Xh8GFTKptc3aox/SZDt8nNP7WxzK7BUGCtnLTSgwU0cxlRne48MytbVB0ox?targetUrl=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.bom.gov.au%2Fclimate%2Fabout%2Faustralian-climate-influences.shtml%3Fbookmark%3Denso)o australian-climate-influences. [www.bom.gov.au/climate/enso/](https://461ae5590bfd4d459a74a617f5dda081.svc.dynamics.com/t/t/W5uTGtwZkx6FvoPQm6OHWYGBkgoo4375xu3mxeZheiEx/SZDt8nNP7WxzK7BUGCtnLTSgwU0cxlRne48MytbVB0ox?targetUrl=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.bom.gov.au%2Fclimate%2Fenso%2Foutlook%2F) outlook The effects impact weather around large parts of the globe, including Australia. [While the Pacific Ocean is ENSO-neutral, the Bureau has moved to El Niño WATCH as there are there are some signs of El Niño forming later in the year. [www.bom.gov.au/climate/ahead/](https://461ae5590bfd4d459a74a617f5dda081.svc.dynamics.com/t/t/LXTjhF9TE2AOCUAx3YIYxm5436l8OgOAY1xrN6vAefwx/SZDt8nNP7WxzK7BUGCtnLTSgwU0cxlRne48MytbVB0ox?targetUrl=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.bom.gov.au%2Fclimate%2Fahead%2F) The tropical Pacific Ocean is now in a neutral phase – neither La Niña nor El Niño. El Niño WATCH means there is a 50% chance of El Niño in 2023.](https://www.beefcentral.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/03/El-Nino-watch-Mar-2017.jpg)

However, scientists have already warned that an El Niño warming phase could be brewing. If true, then it could have some worrying implications for the warming ...

Current insurance industry reported losses for this event sit at AUD 5.76 bn, which now surpass the 1999 Sydney hailstorm (AUD 5.57 bn) as Australia’s largest,” he added. During El Niño, ocean water becomes warm around the central Pacific, resulting in a knock-on effect across the world. Since the planet has already warmed by around 1.2°C above pre-industrial levels, El Niño could raise the global average temperature over the much-hyped 1.5°C (2.7°F) threshold, which would mark a One of the most significant impacts of this “triple-dip” La Niña has been seen in the Atlantic coast of the Americas, which saw a record-breaking hurricane season in 2020 and the [El Niño-Southern Oscillation](https://www.iflscience.com/what-are-el-ni-o-and-la-ni-a-the-giant-forces-that-shape-our-world-67118) is a complex cycle that describes how a pattern of temperature fluctuations in the Pacific Ocean has a global impact – from wind, temperature, and rainfall patterns to the intensity of hurricane seasons, and even the distribution of fish in the seas. [Pacific jet stream](https://www.iflscience.com/climate-change-may-shift-the-jet-stream-by-2060-intensifying-extreme-weather-61157) to move south and extend, causing drier and warmer weather to hit northern parts of the US and Canada, but wetter weather in southern states. However, scientists have already warned that an El Niño warming phase could be brewing. [has the potential](https://www.iflscience.com/four-possible-consequences-of-el-ni-o-returning-in-2023-67283) to drive heat waves and push the global temperature even [higher than in the past few years.](https://www.iflscience.com/2021-was-the-worlds-fifthhottest-year-on-record-62166) [depressing milestone](https://www.iflscience.com/what-difference-does-05c-of-global-warming-make-a-hell-of-a-lot-50056) in the planet’s climate crisis. It looks like it’s all over for the exceptional “triple-dip” La Niña weather event that cooled the Pacific Ocean and shaped the Earth’s weather for the past three years. A strong El Niño can add up to 0.2°C (0.36°F) to the average temperature of the Earth. [Bureau of Meteorology](http://www.bom.gov.au/climate/enso/#tabs=Overview) announced that international climate models suggest the El Niño–Southern Oscillation is currently neutral following three years of La Niña conditions.

State weather forecasters have announced the end of La Niña with a transition to El Niño expected later this year.

“La Niña (cold phase) has ended. Most of the climate models predict that ENSO neutral (neither La Niña nor El Niño) is favored from March through June this year with an increased likelihood of a transition to El Niño (warm phase) thereafter,” PAGASA said in an advisory. Meanwhile, El Niño is the warm phase in the El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO), which increases the likelihood of below-normal conditions that can cause dry spells and droughts in some areas in the country.