Interest rate

2023 - 3 - 7

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Image courtesy of "The Guardian"

RBA interest rates: Reserve Bank increases official cash rate to 3.6 ... (The Guardian)

Interest rates at highest level since mid-2012 as central bank continues to try to drive down inflation.

However, “[services] price inflation remains high, with strong demand for some services over the summer,” Lowe said. “The monthly CPI indicator suggests that inflation has peaked in Australia,” Lowe said. Speculation among pundits turned to how many more rate rises were likely. It signalled, though, that the peak may not be far off. “In assessing when and how much further interest rates need to increase, the board will be paying close attention to developments in the global economy, trends in household spending and the outlook for inflation and the labour market.” “The board expects that further tightening of monetary policy will be needed to ensure that inflation returns to target and that this period of high inflation is only temporary,” the RBA governor, Philip Lowe,

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Image courtesy of "ABC News"

Reserve Bank of Australia raises interest rates to 11-year high (ABC News)

The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) raises interest rates for the 10th consecutive meeting, taking the cash rate target to 3.6 per cent.

"This change does not preclude the RBA from raising the cash rate more than once from here. "The board, however, remains alert to the risk of a prices-wages spiral, given the limited spare capacity in the economy and the historically low rate of unemployment." But it means that the board is not convinced that it needs to hike the cash rate multiple times from here," he wrote. "The board expects that further tightening of monetary policy will be needed to ensure that inflation returns to target and that this period of high inflation is only temporary," he said in his post-meeting statement. "In assessing when and how much further interest rates need to increase, the board will be paying close attention to developments in the global economy, trends in household spending and the outlook for inflation and the labour market." - The 0.25 of a percentage point rate rise will add around $77 a month to repayments on a $500,000 mortgage

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Image courtesy of "Reserve Bank of Australia"

Statement by Philip Lowe, Governor: Monetary Policy Decision ... (Reserve Bank of Australia)

At its meeting today, the Board decided to increase the cash rate target by 25 basis points to 3.60 per cent. It also increased the interest rate on ...

The Board remains resolute in its determination to return inflation to target and will do what is necessary to achieve that. The Board expects that further tightening of monetary policy will be needed to ensure that inflation returns to target and that this period of high inflation is only temporary. Another source of uncertainty is how the global economy responds to the large and rapid increase in interest rates around the world. The Board recognises that monetary policy operates with a lag and that the full effect of the cumulative increase in interest rates is yet to be felt in mortgage payments. At the aggregate level, wages growth is still consistent with the inflation target and recent data suggest a lower risk of a cycle in which prices and wages chase one another. The central forecast is for inflation to decline this year and next, to be around 3 per cent in mid-2025.

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Image courtesy of "The Australian Financial Review"

RBA lifts interest rate to 3.6pc, flags at least one more increase (The Australian Financial Review)

The Reserve Bank could hit pause on further rate rises after a final increase next month, but economists say the cash rate will probably go up again in May ...

[Woolies, CBA CEOs say trading is ‘strong’ despite rate rise hits](https://www.afr.com/business-summit/woolies-cba-ceos-say-trading-is-strong-despite-rate-rise-hits-20230307-p5cq2u)As the RBA raised rates again, the CEOs of CBA and Woolworths said spending is strong, and food inflation is persistent, pointing to challenges for the RBA. [Banks on notice from ACCC as interest rates climb](https://www.afr.com/politics/federal/banks-on-notice-from-accc-as-interest-rates-climb-20230307-p5cpyj)Gina Cass-Gottlieb warned the watchdog would look closely at how banks set interest rates as the Reserve Bank continues to fight inflation with ongoing rate rises. [Energy price concerns abate but rate fears increase](https://www.afr.com/politics/federal/energy-price-concerns-abate-but-rate-fears-increase-20230307-p5cpzg)Concern over energy prices has abated, but spiralling interest rates continue to drive the cost of living as the signature concern of voters, according to new research. [9 out of 10 mortgage holders are already cutting back](https://www.afr.com/politics/federal/rising-interest-rates-homeowners-cut-back-on-eating-out-takeaway-20230304-p5cpei)Research by analytics firm Nature revealed that the Reserve Bank’s aggressive interest rate rises to try to tame inflation were having the desired effect. Comyn says this slowdown will be different as customer anxiety mounts](https://www.afr.com/chanticleer/matt-comyn-says-nuance-needed-in-jigsaw-economy-20230306-p5cpv3)The CBA boss says the gap between the anxiety customers feel as rates rise, and their lived experience, shows why banks must remain flexible as the economy slows. [Prospect of rate pause could lift housing market sentiment](https://www.afr.com/property/residential/prospect-of-rate-pause-could-lift-housing-market-sentiment-20230307-p5cq10)But the 10 back-to-back rate rises will continue to put pressure on people’s ability to borrow and repay their mortgage, experts say. [Australian dollar falls after RBA softens tone about rate outlook](https://www.afr.com/markets/debt-markets/australian-dollar-falls-after-rba-softens-tone-about-rate-outlook-20230306-p5cpua)The Australian dollar and bond yields fell after the Reserve Bank indicated higher interest rates ahead, but softened its hawkish stance. “High inflation makes life difficult for people and damages the functioning of the economy. But it means that the board is not convinced that it needs to hike the cash rate multiple times from here,” he said. Reserve Bank’s Lowe takes stock of his inflation-fighting campaign](https://www.afr.com/companies/financial-services/reserve-bank-s-lowe-takes-stock-of-his-inflation-fighting-campaign-20230307-p5cq4b)Reserve Bank governor Philip Lowe recognises that his inflation-fighting campaign has now entered a new and particularly tricky phase, writes Karen Maley. “Despite last month’s hawkishness, data dependence was still there in the guidance. The benchmark was flat at 7328.1 points heading into the meeting.

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Image courtesy of "The New Daily"

How many more interest rates hikes? Philip Lowe gives some clues (The New Daily)

Home owners will be slugged with another mortgage bill squeeze after the Reserve Bank raised its interest rates for the 10th time in a row.

The RBA wants to see evidence the economy has continued to cool in the new year and that the pace of price growth, particularly for services, is showing signs of easing. With that in mind, Mr Langcake said upcoming data about price growth in the March quarter and the performance of the jobs market over February and March will be crucial to the rate outlook. Luke Hartigan, a lecturer in economics at the University of Sydney, said the RBA is pointing to a “turning point” in inflation, with monthly figures showing the Consumer Price Index (CPI) fell in January. “This change does not preclude the RBA from raising the cash rate more than once from here, but it means that the board is not convinced that it needs to hike the cash rate multiple times more.” Against that backdrop, pressure is growing on the RBA to pause rates and wait for additional data on the economy in the early months of 2023. “The RBA have removed a key hawkish sentence from the February statement, and that is another step closer to the end of their tightening cycle,” he said.

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Image courtesy of "Motley Fool Australia"

ASX 200 lifts off as RBA raises interest rates yet again (Motley Fool Australia)

The S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJ) shot higher after the RBA lifted rates for the tenth consecutive time. Here's what the central bank said.

It expects inflation to be around 3% by the middle of 2025. However, Lowe said, “The outlook for business investment remains positive, with many businesses operating at a very high level of capacity utilisation.” “The monthly CPI indicator suggests that inflation has peaked in Australia. The Aussie economy continues to grow but at a slower pace. Judging by the big afternoon lift-off, ASX 200 investors don’t appear put out by all the uncertainty ahead either. For now, wages are continuing to increase amid high inflation and a tight labour market. That afternoon saw the first rate hike from the RBA since November 2010. “The board expects that further tightening of monetary policy will be needed to ensure that inflation returns to target and that this period of high inflation is only temporary,” Lowe said. “The board, however, remains alert to the risk of a prices-wages spiral, given the limited spare capacity in the economy and the historically low rate of unemployment,” he added. But the ASX 200 looks to be getting a boost from the report that inflation in Australia has at last peaked. [widely expected](https://www.fool.com.au/2023/03/06/what-can-asx-200-investors-expect-from-the-next-rba-interest-rate-decision/) as [inflation](https://www.fool.com.au/definitions/inflation/) in Australia remains well above the central bank’s 2% to 3% target range. Explaining why the board opted to raise interest rates yet again, RBA governor Philip Lowe noted that global inflation remains “very high”.

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Image courtesy of "9News"

Aussies brace for 10th consecutive interest rate hike (9News)

Australians are bracing for a tenth consecutive interest rate rise as the Reserve Bank of Australia meets ...

[Inflation rose 7.4 per cent in the 12 months](https://www.9news.com.au/finance/australia-monthly-inflation-figures-january/227aa454-d73e-4d9b-be64-fbd45b14dfb0)to January 2023 - down from the 8.4 per cent rise in December 2022. Economists are today predicting another rise of 0.25 per cent which will bring the official cash rate to 3.6 per cent. Since May 2022 - after interest rates started rising from the historically low 0.10 per cent - repayments on a $750,000 loan will increase by an extra $1500 a month if the central bank hikes the rate today. [25 basis points in February to 3.35 per cent.](https://www.9news.com.au/finance/australia-interest-rates-february-2023-decision-how-much-it-will-cost-you/01e6edde-5d84-4c0a-ada9-a1dd760b9a75) [interest rate](https://www.9news.com.au/interest-rates)rise as the [Reserve Bank of Australia](https://www.9news.com.au/reserve-bank-australia)meets later today. The central bank hiked the cash rate by

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Image courtesy of "The Washington Post"

Fed may need more aggressive interest rate hikes, Powell says (The Washington Post)

Recent data on inflation, employment, spending and manufacturing show a hotter economy than officials expected, the central bank chair told Congress on ...

Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.) asked Powell what he would say to millions of people who could be out of work if the Fed keeps raising rates and causes a downturn. In a shock to observers, the unemployment rate fell to 3.4 percent, a low not seen since May 1969. Whether that can keep up as borrowing costs climb higher and higher remains to be seen. For much of last year, the Fed sprinted to catch up to inflation that soared to 40-year highs, hiking interest rates by 4.5 percentage points in less than a year. But Democrats have raised alarms that high rates could dampen the economy so much that workers lose their jobs and people pull back on spending. Officials have argued that smaller, quarter-point increases give them more flexibility as they tiptoe up to the federal funds rate’s ultimate level. The plan then was to stick to a few more quarter-point increases until pausing rate hikes altogether, so the full weight of the Fed’s decisions last year could work through the economy. “Powell’s comments make it sound as though they need to be convinced not to speed the pace up,” Tang wrote. Democrats have warned the Fed against going too far and causing such a slowdown that business announce widespread layoffs and workers suffer. The expectation is that there will be notable revisions since the last set of projections, from December, including in where interest rates will eventually settle. And next week, a new inflation report will help explain whether progress on the Fed’s inflation fight is slowing. They also mark a clear signal from the economy’s most powerful policymaker that the Fed would consider sharper interest rate hikes if officials thought the economy was moving in the wrong direction.

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Image courtesy of "CNBC"

Fed Chair Powell says interest rates are 'likely to be higher' than ... (CNBC)

Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell on Tuesday cautioned that interest rates are likely to head higher than central bank policymakers had expected.

However, he also noted "there is little sign of disinflation" when it comes to the important category of services spending excluding housing, food and energy. Markets mostly had expected the Fed to enact a second consecutive quarter-point, or 25 basis points, rate increase at the Federal Open Market Committee meeting later this month. "Restoring price stability will likely require that we maintain a restrictive stance of monetary policy for some time," Powell said. "We're taking the only measures we have to bring inflation down," Powell said. "We have covered a lot of ground, and the full effects of our tightening so far are yet to be felt. The Fed has raised its benchmark fund rate eight times over the past year to its current targeted level between 4.5%-4.75%. "The historical record cautions strongly against prematurely loosening policy. The chairman faced some pushback from Democrats on the Senate panel who blamed inflation on corporate greed and price gouging and said the Fed should reconsider its rate hikes. Elizabeth Warren, D-Mass., a frequent Powell critic, charged that the Fed's inflation goals will put 2 million people out of work. On its face, the funds rate sets what banks charge each other for overnight lending. That's well above the Fed's 2% long-run target and a shade past the December level. "If the totality of the data were to indicate that faster tightening is warranted, we would be prepared to increase the pace of rate hikes."

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Image courtesy of "USA TODAY"

Jerome Powell live: Fed chair tells Senate that central bank could ... (USA TODAY)

Powell tells Congress the Fed could raise interest rates more than planned to tame inflation. Price increases and job growth have surged lately.

"You claim the only solution (to inflation) is to lay off workers," she said. "There is a job for us to do in better aligning demand with supply," he said. He conceded the Fed's mandate is to promote both full employment and low inflation. Not when we have the lowest unemployment in 54 years." Elizabeth Warren, D-Mass., said inflation chiefly has been caused by supply troubles, the war in Ukraine and corporate greed, rather than a surge in consumer and business demand that the Fed can dampen with higher borrowing costs. And he said that “from a broader perspective, inflation has moderated somewhat since the middle of last year.” And based on past experience, the ripple effects of those 2 million cuts will likely lead to another 1.5 million layoffs, Warren said. But several committee Democrats told Powell the benefits of higher rates aren't worth the cost. Most economists expect the sharp rate increases will tip the economy into a recession this year. But inflation picked up from 5.3% in December and the monthly increase accelerated sharply. “Although nominal wage gains have slowed somewhat in recent months, they remain above what is consistent with 2% inflation and current trends in productivity. But in January, the economy added a blockbuster 517,000 jobs.

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