Us interest rates

2022 - 9 - 22

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Image courtesy of "ABC News"

US Federal Reserve warns conquering inflation will mean more ... (ABC News)

Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell says lowering it requires slower growth and higher unemployment; The Fed projects further rate hikes this year and no cuts ...

The FOMC statement noted the "broader price pressures" beyond food and energy, and stressed that officials were "strongly committed to returning inflation to its 2 per cent objective". But he said at some point it would be appropriate to slow the pace of rate increases, depending on the data. Mr Powell has made it clear that officials will continue to act aggressively to cool the economy and avoid a repeat of the 1970s and early 1980s, the last time US inflation got out of control. It took tough action — and a recession — to finally bring prices down in the 1980s, and the Fed is unwilling to give up its hard-won, inflation-fighting credibility. But a contraction of the world's largest economy would be a more damaging blow to Mr Biden and the world at large. It was the third consecutive increase of 0.75 per cent by the Fed's policy-setting Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), which is working to put a lid on inflation that has surged to its highest level in 40 years.

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Image courtesy of "NEWS.com.au"

Graph shows the world is in trouble (NEWS.com.au)

The US Federal Reserve imposed the latest in a series of sharp interest rate hikes on Wednesday in a sign that policymakers aren't backing down from an ...

Inflation is much higher than the 2 per cent range that the Fed and Treasury Department deem acceptable. Currently interest rates are at their highest level since December 2014, with the most recent rate rises marking the first time it’s been above 2 per cent since April 2016. “The Federal Reserve is likely tightening policy straight into the teeth of a recession. The Fed was widely expected to implement another sharp rate hike following a dismal August Consumer Price Index that renewed fears about persistent inflation. Yields on two-year Treasury notes spiked above 4 per cent on the expectation of another hike. As of August, the unemployment rate was 3.7 per cent. Fed officials have now hiked the benchmark rate by three-quarters of a percentage point for three consecutive meetings. Hikes impact credit card interest rates, savings accounts, auto loans and other forms of borrowing. Job gains have been robust in recent months, and the unemployment rate has remained low,” the FOMC said. The rate-making Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) hiked the nation’s benchmark interest rate by 0.75 per cent, or 75 basis points, at the end of a two-day meeting. Prior to the FOMC’s announcement, investors were pricing in an 82 per cent probability of a three-quarter-percentage-point hike and an 18 per cent probability of a full-point hike. Speaking a post-meeting press conference, Mr Powell said the FOMC would hike its benchmark rate to a “restrictive level” and “keep it there for some time.” Current Fed projections call for a 4.25 per cent to 4.50 per cent rate by the end of the year.

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Image courtesy of "Reuters"

Fed set for big rate hike as waters get choppy for world's central banks (Reuters)

The Federal Reserve is expected on Wednesday to lift interest rates by three-quarters of a percentage point for a third straight time and signal how much ...

"The present danger, however, is not so much that current and planned moves will fail eventually to quell inflation. It is that they collectively go too far and drive the world economy into an unnecessarily harsh contraction." In July, Powell's comment that the Fed might move to smaller incremental rate increases was read as indicating an imminent policy pivot. central bank to eventually need to raise its policy rate to around 5.00%, a level approaching the peak of 5.25% seen from mid-2006 to 2007 when Fed policymakers were concerned about a bubble in the U.S. Powell is scheduled to hold a news conference at 2:30 p.m. The policy decision, due to be announced at 2 p.m.

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Image courtesy of "NPR"

Another big interest rate hike is coming, as the Fed battles stubborn ... (NPR)

The Federal Reserve is expected to raise interest rates by another 0.75 percentage points today, as it tries to control runaway prices.

People have grown more confident of that over the summer as the cost of gasoline — with its highly visible price tag — has fallen. "We will keep at it until the job is done," Powell told an audience at the CATO Institute this month. "The Fed has been delivering a 'tough love' message that interest rates will be higher, and for longer, than expected." While the [price of gasoline has dropped sharply](https://www.npr.org/2022/08/06/1115440553/gas-prices-oil-inflation-cost-of-living) from its record high in June, and used cars and airline tickets have gotten somewhat cheaper, other costs continue to climb, including essentials such as rent, groceries and electricity. The central bank has already raised its benchmark rate four times this year — from near zero to about 2.375%. "If unemployment were to stay under, say 5%, I think we could really be really aggressive on inflation," Waller said. But so far, its actions have done little to curb the rapid run-up in prices. "The longer inflation remains well above target, the greater the risk that the public does begin to see higher inflation as the norm, and that has the capacity to really raise the cost of getting inflation down." "If we don't get inflation down, we're in trouble," Fed governor Christopher Waller said this month. Powell argues that's "The Fed will continue to hike rates until it actually restrains the economy and intends to keep rates at those restrictive levels until inflation is unmistakably on its way to 2%," McBride said. What's more, price hikes have spread to goods and services that are not directly affected by the pandemic or the war in Ukraine, suggesting that inflation has gained momentum that may not be quickly reversed.

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Image courtesy of "The Washington Post"

Fed poised for another sharp rate hike to fight inflation (The Washington Post)

The central bank is expected to raise rates by three-quarters of a percentage point for the third consecutive time.

[misjudging inflation](https://www.washingtonpost.com/us-policy/2022/05/31/inflation-economy-timeline/?itid=lk_inline_manual_15) for much of last year, the Fed has been in a race to push past the “neutral” zone of roughly 2.5 percent, where rates don’t slow or juice the economy, and into “restrictive territory” that dampens consumer demand and gets inflation down. Fed officials had hoped that the latest consumer price index report would show a meaningful drop in inflation, thanks in part to falling gas prices. Policymakers are also set to release a new set of economic projections. He is likely to get questions on inflation, the risks of a recession, future rate hikes — and what the toll of those moves will be. [job market](https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/2022/09/02/august-jobs-report/?itid=lk_inline_manual_7) and consumer spending — two crucial economic engines — have stayed resilient through the Fed’s sharp rate hikes, and Americans may even be [feeling better](https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/2022/09/10/economy-inflation-gas-prices/?itid=lk_inline_manual_7) about inflation. “If it’s [one percentage point], I think that would be interpreted as a statement,” said Justin Wolfers, professor of public policy and economics at the University of Michigan.

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Image courtesy of "The Guardian"

Fed raises interest rate by 0.75 percentage points as US seeks to ... (The Guardian)

Third outsized rate increase in a row as central bank struggles to fight runaway inflation, increasing the cost of everything.

“There’s a chance of a mild recession, a chance of a hard recession. But the policy is a blunt instrument and rate rises take time to filter through to the wider economy. Speaking at a congressional hearing on Wednesday, some of the US’s top bankers said it was too early to tell how rate rises would impact the economy. The Fed initially dismissed rising inflation, arguing it was a “transitory” phase triggered by the pandemic and supply chain issues. This week the Bank of England is expected to announce its largest rate rise in The central bank signaled more raises to come, predicting rates would reach 4.4% by the end of the year and not start coming down until 2024.

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Image courtesy of "Aljazeera.com"

US Fed hikes interest rate to highest level since 2008 (Aljazeera.com)

Announcement sparks concern that fight to contain sky-high US inflation could tip the economy into a recession.

[European Central Bank](/economy/2022/7/21/ecb-hikes-interest-rates-for-first-time-in-11-years) last week raised its benchmark rate by three-quarters of a percentage point. Konczal said there is a case to be made for the Fed to slow its rate increases over the next two meetings. And he added that the central bank’s commitment to bringing inflation back down to its 2 percent target was “unconditional”. Last week, the average fixed mortgage rate topped 6 percent, its highest point in 14 years. By raising borrowing rates, the Fed makes it costlier to take out a mortgage or a car or business loan. Less spending would then help moderate price increases.

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