Inflation backed off a 40-year high last month as gas prices fell but food and rent costs rose again, CPI report shows.
In July, breakfast-cereal prices rose 2% from the previous month and 16.4% from a year ago. And hotel rates were down 2.7% after a 2.8% drop the previous month. She notes the Fed will have to weigh the latest inflation data against a report last week that showed the economy added a booming 528,000 jobs, as annual wage growth ticked up to 5.2%, further stoking price pressures. Barclays now expects overall inflation to end the year at 5.8%, below its previous 6.1% estimate. Rent edged up 0.4% monthly, and 6.3% over the past year as landlords offset a surge in housing sale prices. With the pandemic becoming a less-virulent public-health threat, Jim Gomes of Palm Desert, California, and his wife, Jennifer, have been dining out about six times a month since spring. Grocery prices, though, rose by 1.3% from June and are up 13.1% over the past 12 months. And new-vehicle costs advanced 0.6%, and 10.4% annually. Medical-care services increased 0.4% and 5.1% yearly. And eggs shot up 4.3% , and 38% from a year ago. Unleaded regular averaged $4.03 Tuesday, down from $4.70 a month ago. That held the annual increase at 5.9% after three straight monthly declines.
Full coverage of the July CPI report and the markets.
Economists surveyed by Dow Jones were expecting headline CPI to increase 8.7% on an annual basis and 0.2% monthly. Year-over-year change in the consumer price ...
The energy index rose 32.9% from a year ago. Recent commentary from policymakers has pointed toward a third consecutive 0.75 percentage point interest rate hike at the September meeting. But gasoline was still up 44% from a year ago and fuel oil increased 75.6% on an annual basis, despite an 11% decline in July. While inflation has been accelerating, gross domestic product declined for the first two quarters of 2022. The central bank has hiked benchmark borrowing rates by 2.25 percentage points so far in 2022, and officials have provided strong indications that more increases are coming. "They've been saying they're ready to deliver a 75 basis point hike if they have to. I don't think they have to anymore." Butter is up 26.4% over the past year, eggs have surged 38% and coffee is up more than 20%. The report was good news for workers, who saw a 0.5% monthly increase in real wages. Despite the monthly drop in the energy index, electricity prices rose 1.6% and were up 15.2% from a year ago. - The report was good news for workers, who saw a 0.5% monthly increase in real wages. Prices that consumers pay for a variety of goods and services rose 8.5% in July from a year ago, a slowing pace from the previous month due largely to a drop in gasoline prices.
Stock futures soared with Treasuries after investors finally got a report that brought signs of a peak in runaway inflation.
The consumer-price index is arguably the most closely watched inflation indicator in the U.S. It measures the change in prices of a basket of goods and ...
After months of worrying inflation data, today's CPI report offered some good news. However, it may not be enough for the Fed to alter likely plans to raise ...
That may give the Fed comfort that recessionary fears may be overstated as they try to tame inflation and keep the job market strong. It seems likely that have passed peak inflation in the U.S. at this point. Todayโs inflation data was encouraging as energy prices are starting to ease. The Fed is scheduled to set interest rates again next month on September 21. Also, food prices really matter to the economy. On that basis without energy costs included, prices rose 0.4% for the month or a 4.9% annualized rate.
Stocks have trembled while major currencies held steady as investors were reluctant to place bets ahead of the...
As measured by the gap between two- and 10-year yields, the US curve is deeply inverted at below minus 40 bps. Oil prices fell after industry data showed US crude inventories unexpectedly rose last week, signalling a possible hiccup in demand. The dollar was steady, having paused from a retreat that began in the middle of July. The dollar index, which measures the safe-haven greenback against six major peers, was at 106.3. Europe's benchmark STOXX index fell 0.43 per cent, following a bigger fall of 1.2 per cent in the MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan, while Japan's Nikkei closed down 0.65 per cent. The market is pricing in a 69.5 per cent chance of a 75 bps rate increase at the Fed's next meeting. Economists polled by Reuters expect the CPI to show year-on-year headline inflation of 8.7 per cent, far above the Fed's target of two per cent but down from last month's red-hot 9.1 per cent.
Wall Street yelled 'the inflation wars are over' and sent share prices surging after US consumer price inflation slowed a little in July.
The fall in yields also saw futures markets pare their bets on the size of the next Fed rise in late September โ a rise of 0.50% or even 0.25% is preferred to the previously expected 0.75%. The news also saw the US dollar fall with the Aussie currency leaping past 70 US cents and eying 71 US cents in a matter of hours. The news and Wall Streetโs surge saw the overnight ASX 200 futures market rise 71 points, meaning it should be a strong start here today. The S&P 500 ended at its highest close since May , finishing up 2.13% to 4,210.24 and the Nasdaq surged 2.89% to 12,854.80 for its best close since late April. Month on month the CPI was flat in July compared with June, another point grabbed by the bulls on Wednesday. For that thank the forecast impact of falling petrol prices which were predicted to cut the CPI by around 0.5%.