U.S. inflation

2022 - 6 - 11

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Image courtesy of "SHRM"

U.S. Inflation Rate Reaches 8.6% in May, a 40-Year High (SHRM)

The U.S. inflation rate reached 8.6 percent in May, its highest level in more than 40 years, putting pressure on employers to raise wages to keep pace.

"It is very unusual to see so many companies planning a second round of adjustments," said Rebecca Toman, vice president of the survey business unit at Pearl Meyer. "Normally, budgets are set well in advance for an annual rise. Also, if the first 10 days of June are anything to go by, the next monthly measure would be higher." "Yet, these organizations will find themselves at a significant strategic and operational disadvantage if demand continues as anticipated—especially as other employers offer higher base pay salaries." A May survey of 337 U.S. companies by pay consultancy Pearl Myer found that about one-third of organizations are considering or planning to provide midyear salary increases in 2022: The May CPI measure came in higher than consensus expectations that the annual rate would stay unchanged at 8.3 percent, indicating that "signs of inflation peaking in April were wrong," according to The Kobeissi Letter, an industry commentary on global capital markets. The U.S. inflation rate reached 8.6 percent in May, its highest level since December 1981, the U.S. Department of Labor (DOL) reported on June 10, putting pressure on employers to raise wages to keep pace.

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Image courtesy of "Financial Times"

US inflation resumes rapid rise by accelerating in May (Financial Times)

Consumer prices rose 1% during month and 8.6% from a year ago, adding more pressure on Fed to cool the economy.

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Image courtesy of "Politico"

U.S. inflation hit a new 40-year high last month of 8.6 percent (Politico)

America's rampant inflation is imposing severe pressures on families, forcing them to pay much more for food, gas and rent.

Inflation has remained high even as the sources of rising prices have shifted. But their spending on plane tickets, hotels and entertainment has continued to rise. But with wages rising steadily for many workers, prices are rising in services as well. And with China easing strict Covid lockdowns in Shanghai and elsewhere, more of its citizens are driving, thereby sending oil prices up even further. Congressional Republicans are hammering Democrats on the issue in the run-up to midterm elections this fall. Lower-income and Black and Hispanic Americans, in particular, are struggling because, on average, a larger proportion of their income is consumed by necessities.

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Image courtesy of "The Guardian"

US inflation hits 40-year high of 8.6% as food, gas and shelter costs ... (The Guardian)

Inflation rate sends stock markets into tailspin as S&P 500 falls over 2.6% and Nasdaq down over 3.4%

The war in Ukraine and the continuing disruption to global trade caused by the coronavirus pandemic have both contributed to rising prices for food and energy. Food and energy prices are more volatile than other categories included in the CPI, and the labor department publishes a “core prices” index which excludes them. The food index rose 1.2% in May as the food at home index increased 1.4%. The Fed’s price stability resolve is going to be really tested now. Inflation is now running at a rate last seen in December 1981. According to the latest CPI report the energy index rose 3.9% over the month, with the gasoline index rising 4.1%. Other major component indexes also increased.

US Inflation Quickens to 40-Year High, Pressuring Fed and Biden (advisorperspectives.com)

Record gasoline prices, paired with unrelenting food and shelter costs, are adding strain to Americans' cost of living, suggesting the Fed will have to pump the ...

Rent of primary of residence climbed 5.2% from a year earlier, the most since 1987. Rising demand for travel and entertainment this summer, particularly among wealthier households who have the savings to support discretionary spending, as well as tight labor market conditions will likely maintain upward pressure on services inflation in the coming months. Energy prices climbed 34.6% from a year earlier, the most since 2005, including a nearly 49% jump in gasoline costs. Furniture, including bedding, was one of the few categories to post a monthly decline. That will likely keep the Fed on a trajectory of 50-basis-point hikes beyond July, even though the economy is cooling.” US inflation accelerated to a fresh 40-year high in May, a sign that price pressures are becoming entrenched in the economy. There are growing risks that price pressures in those categories will continue to build. That raises the risk of a recession, which some economists already saw as likely next year. “There’s little respite from four-decade high inflation until energy and food costs simmer down and excess demand pressures abate in response to tighter monetary policy,” Sal Guatieri, senior economist at BMO Capital Markets, said in a note. In May, prices for necessities continued to rise at double-digit paces. Two-year Treasury yields jumped, stocks opened lower and the dollar rose. Shelter, food and gas were the largest contributors.

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Image courtesy of "PerthNow"

US inflation hits new 40-year high in May (PerthNow)

US consumer prices accelerated in May as petrol prices hit a record high and the cost of food soared, leading to the largest annual increase in nearly 40 ...

That was the largest year-on-year increase since December 1981 and followed a 8.3 per cent advance in April. Economists had hoped that the annual CPI rate peaked in April. In the 12 months through May, the CPI increased 8.6 per cent. The consumer price index increased 1.0 per cent last month after gaining 0.3 per cent in April. Petrol prices rebounded 4.1 per cent after falling 6.1 per cent in April. The faster than expected increase in inflation last month reported by the Labor Department on Friday also reflected a surge in rents, which increased by the most since 1990.

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Image courtesy of "NEWS.com.au"

US inflation skyrockets, piling pressure on Biden (NEWS.com.au)

US inflation surged to a new four-decade high in May, defying hopes that price pressures had peaked and deepening President Joe Biden's political troubles ...

The CPI surge "raises the probability of even more aggressive Fed rate hikes to tamp down on inflationary expectations," said Mickey Levy of Berenberg Capital Markets, adding that a pause in rate hikes in September is "looking increasingly unlikely." Some economists expected the easing of pandemic restrictions to cause a shift of US consumer demand towards services and away from goods, which they said would ease inflation pressures, but prices for services increased as well. "I'm doing everything in my power to blunt Putin's price hike and bring down the price of gas and food," he said Friday while speaking at the Port of Los Angeles.

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Image courtesy of "新华网"

U.S. inflation rockets upward, peak unknown (新华网)

"Inflation remains a big problem for Biden and certainly will harm Democrats in November if it continues at such a high rate," says Brookings Institution ...

Traders work at the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York, the United States, June 10, 2022. Fuel oil was up by 106.7 percent over the past 12 months. The Nasdaq declined 414 points by end of trading Friday. "Inflation remains a big problem for Biden and certainly will harm Democrats in November if it continues at such a high rate," Brookings Institution Senior Fellow Darrell West told Xinhua. ■ People are seen at the parking lot of a grocery store in the Brooklyn borough of New York, the United States, on June 10, 2022. (David Nemec/NYSE/Handout via Xinhua) Some analysts fear that inflation threatens to spur the Fed to hike interest rates to the point at which a recession could be triggered. Any further loss in such wealth "must heighten the risk that we are in for a hard economic landing by early next year," Lachman said. Dean Baker, senior economist at the Center for Economic and Policy Research, told Xinhua: "We have probably seen peak inflation," but added that a huge amount depends on energy and food prices, which in turn depend to a large extent on the conflict in Ukraine. People fuel vehicles at a gas station in the Brooklyn borough of New York, the United States, on June 10, 2022. "If a cease fire can be arranged, I expect that the price of oil, wheat and a number of other commodities will fall sharply," Baker said. "Inflation remains a big problem for Biden and certainly will harm Democrats in November if it continues at such a high rate," says Brookings Institution Senior Fellow Darrell West.

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