If Saturday's count points to the final result, Anthony Albanese's government will not face a hostile upper house.
The United Australia Party is leading in Victoria and One Nation is leading in South Australia, but their lead is narrow and could easily change as more votes are counted. While the successes for minor parties and independents in the House of Representatives were more dramatic, a record crossbench in the Senate may prove almost equally significant. The Greens are also set to take Labor’s third seat in New South Wales, the vulnerable seat that Kristina Keneally vacated to make her ill-fated run for Fowler. There are still a lot of Senate votes yet to be counted, including all prepoll votes. That third Labor seat also comes at the expense of the Liberals. Labor and the Greens will disagree on plenty of issues, but both will have an incentive to ensure success in the next term.
It's projected over one-third of voters chose not to vote for the major parties.
This was also the findings of the ABC’s Vote Compass. But the dominance of the major parties may be over. Despite the leaders talking predominantly about the short-term cost of living, perhaps it seems voters want urgent leadership on long-term climate adaptation in a government with integrity safeguards. The ALP might take government with only around a third of the vote, so the “third force” of politics in Australia must be taken seriously from now on. The major parties look like only gaining two-thirds of the overall vote. This time, it’s predicted over 33% of the electorate voted for minority parties or independents.