Interest rate rise

2022 - 5 - 2

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Image courtesy of "The Sydney Morning Herald"

The interest rate rise we had to have and how it will help (The Sydney Morning Herald)

A second way in which higher interest rates help to cool inflationary pressures in the economy is the way they change people's decisions to save versus invest.

Higher interest rates increase the appeal to foreign investors of owning Australian dollar denominated assets. The cost of borrowing to invest also goes up because of how much extra money you have to plough into interest payments. Let’s hope you banked some of the savings. But that’s the way of it. Ultra-low interest rates have spurred a massive ramp up in borrowing by households, mostly to fund property purchases. So higher rates diminish some of this “wealth effect”. So, perhaps it’s time for a refresher on how interest rate rises help to cool price pressures in the economy and why that’s good for us all, in the long run. In short, interest rate hikes work via four distinct “transmission channels”, of which the hit to mortgage-holder hip pockets is just one part. It also increases Aussie shopper’s buying power abroad, making imports less expensive, and reducing some costs that way. Well, higher interest rates actually help households with cash savings – such as in term deposits – which can include renters aspiring to be first home buyers, but mostly comprise retirees. The opportunity cost of spending your money today – rather than saving – effectively goes up because you could instead put it in the bank and earn higher interest than before. What about the remaining two thirds of households?

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Image courtesy of "The Guardian"

Interest rate rise: who makes the high-stakes decision and how does ... (The Guardian)

The RBA is considering raising the official cash rate for the first time since 2010 and the outcome will have big ramifications for the federal election.

“There is still good reason for the RBA to wait to June and raise the cash rate by 0.4 percentage points in response to the sustained and broad-based increases in prices,” Sarah Hunter, a KPMG economist said. The currency has already dropped from the mid-70 US cent range to just above 70 US cents. Their view was “marginally in favour of cash rate rise” on Tuesday, although the verdict was only 53:47, Morley said. Why would the RBA hold back despite the CPI coming in at 5.1% for the March quarter? The RBA, though, would also be watching its overseas counterparts. Financial markets, though, have reduced their expectation of a rate rise, according to an ASX tracker. Scott Morrison has tried to blunt criticism that a Tuesday rate rise would be a poor reflection on his government’s economic management, blaming international factors for the high inflation. Staff, other board members and Lowe himself would often make presentations. Labor’s shadow treasurer, Jim Chalmers, meanwhile, says he’s “disappointed” that Frydenberg’s comments undermine the RBA’s independence. “A June increase would allow the RBA to act outside the election campaign, and with the benefit of seeing the wage price index release [on 18 May] before deciding on the size of the upward movement.” The central bank itself says only that “consistent with the Reserve Bank Act, the board makes decisions by a majority of the members present, with the chair having a casting vote”. The treasurer, Josh Frydenberg, also pointed to previous comments by Lowe – including in last month’s board meeting – that the RBA wanted to see inflation and wage data before lifting the rate from its now record low of 0.1%.

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Image courtesy of "The Age"

The case for an interest rate rise is clear. The RBA must act now (The Age)

With unemployment at 4 per cent and inflation over 5 per cent, keeping official interest rates near zero is no longer justified.

But debt as a share of household income has risen sharply since the previous phase of interest rate increases, which began in 2009, and that has made borrowers much more sensitive to rate rises. The RBA asserted that independence in November 2007 when its board opted to lift rates during a federal election campaign. This unfortunate contradiction between fiscal policy and monetary policy is now playing out in the middle of an election campaign. Given the strong arguments supporting a lift in interest rates, and the persistent debate about household cost-of-living pressures, the public expects action. The central bank’s board will have understandable concerns about moving the cash rate during a federal election campaign. A gradual return to more-normal interest rate settings is in Australia’s interests.

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Image courtesy of "ABC News"

US stocks rally after wild night; RBA tipped for first interest rate rise ... (ABC News)

US stocks end higher after a volatile trading session, the Reserve Bank meets today to consider raising interest rates to curb surging inflation, ...

Westpac's Imre Speizer said in a research note that the bank predicted the RBA to raise interest rates today by 0.15 per cent to 0.25 per cent, which is also the market's forecast. Earlier in the session, Brent and West Texas Crude fell on the news that the European Commission may spare Hungary and Slovakia from a Russian oil embargo as it prepares to finalise its next round of sanctions on Russia. "The AGL Energy demerger is on track to be completed by the end of next month," the spokesperson said. The Australian dollar fell 0.2 per cent to 70.49 US cents, with the greenback approaching a 20-year high against a basket of currencies before the expected rate increase this week by the Fed. Official rates were slashed to a record low of 0.1 per cent in 2020 as an emergency response to the coronavirus pandemic. Yesterday, the ASX 200 index fell 1.2 per cent to 7,347. The Reserve Bank is tipped to raise interest rates later today for the first time in 11 years to curb surging inflation, which is running at an annual rate of 5.1 per cent. The Fed meets this week and is expected to raise interest rates by 50 basis points, to 0.75 per cent to 1 per cent, to tackle the strongest price rises in 40 years. The central bank last raised the official cash rate by 0.25 basis points (0.25 per cent) in November 2010, which took the OCR to 4.75 per cent. By the close, the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.3 per cent to 33,062, the S&P 500 gained nearly 0.6 per cent to 4,155, and the Nasdaq increased 1.6 per cent to 12,536. The benchmark S&P 500 rebounded after dropping to the lowest since May 2021, and the Nasdaq fell to the lowest since November 2020 during the session. - The Dow Jones index rose 0.3pc to 33,062, the S&P 500 rose nearly 0.6pc to 4,155, and the Nasdaq rose 1.6pc to 12,536

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Image courtesy of "The Sydney Morning Herald"

The case for an interest rate hike is clear. The RBA must act today (The Sydney Morning Herald)

With unemployment at 4 per cent and inflation over 5 per cent having official interest rates near zero is no longer justified.

But debt as a share of household income has risen sharply since the last phase of interest rate increases, which began in 2009, and that has made borrowers much more sensitive to rate hikes. The RBA strongly asserted that independence in November 2007 when its board opted to lift rates during a federal election campaign. It is more than 11 years since the last official interest rate increase in Australia; many with a mortgage have never had to confront the prospect of higher borrowing costs. This unfortunate contradiction between fiscal policy and monetary policy is now playing out in the middle of an election campaign. Given the strong arguments supporting a lift in interest rates, and the persistent debate about household cost of living pressures, the public anticipates action. A gradual return to more normal interest rate settings is in Australia’s interests.

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Image courtesy of "9Homes"

How the RBA rate rise will impact Aussie property prices (9Homes)

Australians will end up paying more on their mortgage each month with the Reserve Bank of Australia's antic...

It is likely to mean their interest rate will increase, meaning the cost of your loan will go up," she said. The information has been prepared without taking into account your personal objectives, financial situation or needs. The information provided on this website is general in nature only and does not constitute personal financial advice.

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Image courtesy of "Sunshine Coast News"

Soaring inflation tipped to trigger rate rise on Tuesday (Sunshine Coast News)

Economists are generally convinced the Reserve Bank of Australia will lift the cash rate at Tuesday's monthly board meeting, which would be the first ...

See SUBSCRIBE at the top of this article “That is what I am concerned about. Want to stay on top of local happenings? An initial rate increase of 0.15 per would add around $45 per month to repayments on a $500,000 variable mortgage, but would rise by around $350 per month if the cash rate rose to 1.25 per cent by year end as some economists are predicting. Financial markets are fully priced for a 0.15 per cent rise in the cash rate to 0.25 per cent and is expected to be followed by increases of 0.25 per cent in subsequent months. Economists are generally convinced the Reserve Bank of Australia will lift the cash rate at Tuesday’s monthly board meeting, which would be the first increase in more than a decade.

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Image courtesy of "NEWS.com.au"

Rates to rise 'every month until Christmas' (NEWS.com.au)

All eyes are today focused on the Reserve Bank of Australia, with it expected to increase interest rates on Tuesday afternoon – and some economists are ...

This was the largest quarterly and annual rise since the introduction of the goods and services tax (GST) in 2000. Some experts have predicted the interest rate could even reach 2.5 per cent by the end of the year. The latest Consumer Price Index (CPI) released last week from the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) revealed the CPI rose 2.1 per cent in the March 2022 quarter, and 5.1 per cent annually. New to Flash? Try 1 month free. Stream more finance news live & on demand with Flash. 25+ news channels in 1 place. Three of the big four banks – ANZ, NAB and Westpac – have tipped interest rates to increase to 0.25 per cent in May, with Commonwealth Bank predicting the RBA will hold off until after the federal election with a June 0.15 rate hike.

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Image courtesy of "7NEWS.com.au"

RBA cash rate: Loan repayment calculator as Reserve Bank of ... (7NEWS.com.au)

There's a lot of talk about interest rates going up - but how much will it actually affect you?

“I mean, sometimes you guys (journalists) always see things through a totally political lens. “But raising the cash rate 18 days before an election - the first hike in over a decade - would put the RBA right in the political mix.” Should the RBA increase the cash rate on Tuesday, it would mark the first time in a decade. According to home loan rate change calculator Mozo, someone with a principal-and-interest loan of $500,000 with 25 years remaining would be paying $40 a month more on their mortgage if the RBA increased the cash rate by 0.15 per cent, their bank’s interest rate going from 3.1 per cent to 3.25. ANZ was the first of the big four banks to call for a cash rate hike. The RBA uses interest rates to manage the rates of inflation.

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Image courtesy of "The Sydney Morning Herald"

Election 2022 LIVE updates: Scott Morrison promises to revive ... (The Sydney Morning Herald)

The Reserve Bank is widely expected to lift interest rates today, the majority of Australians believe they're doing their bit on climate change but want the ...

Hanson Young said a minimum performance fee was “the least the government can do” to provide ongoing support for the arts sector. Greens leader Adam Bandt has called for a government-backed $250 minimum performance fee for artists and the creation of a $1 billion live performance fund to support the arts sector. The MEAA campaign for a minimum support fee for musicians has been endorsed by Labor state governments in Victoria, Queensland, Western Australia and South Australia.

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Image courtesy of "Sky News Australia"

Morrison addresses the possibility of an interest rate rise on Tuesday (Sky News Australia)

Interest rates are likely to rise when the Reserve Bank of Australia holds its monthly board meeting on Tuesday, with Prime Minister Scott Morrison saying ...

"Now Australians know that there are pressures on interest rates, that's why many of them, so many of them have been switching to fixed rates. Stream more election news live & on demand with Flash. 25+ news channels in 1 place. New to Flash? Try 1 month free. "What happens tomorrow deals with what people pay on their mortgages, that's what I'm concerned about, it's not about what it means for politics. I mean sometimes you guys always see things through a totally political lens. Interest rates are likely to rise when the Reserve Bank of Australia holds its monthly board meeting on Tuesday, with Prime Minister Scott Morrison saying the decision is "not about politics".

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Image courtesy of "7NEWS.com.au"

Interest rate rise: RBA set to unveil decision as Scott Morrison plays ... (7NEWS.com.au)

The federal government is playing down the political impact of a potential central bank interest rate rise - the first in 12 years - ahead of the May 21 ...

“When things are going well in the economy Scott Morrison takes all the credit, but when Australians are doing it tough he takes none of the responsibility.” “It’s important that they [the RBA] apply the monetary policy settings in an independent way and in a way that acts in concert with what we’ve been doing in relation to fiscal policy,” he said. “I don’t think that Australians expected interest rates to stay at historically low 0.1 per cent levels forever,” he said on Tuesday. “Australians are focused on what they are paying for and who they think is going to be best able to manage an economy and manage the finances, so they are in the best possible position to realise their aspirations.” Asked if rising rates could damage the coalition’s chances at the federal election on May 21, Morrison accused journalists of looking through a “totally political lens”. “They know there are (inflation) pressures that are coming from outside of Australia on interest rates,” he said on Monday.

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Image courtesy of "NEWS.com.au"

'Overwhelming': Brutal rate rise prediction (NEWS.com.au)

It's almost certain interest rates will rise on Tuesday — this is how much extra you could be paying if the experts are correct.

Mr Oliver thinks banks will pass on the full amount of any rate hike. New to Flash? Try 1 month free. Stream more finance news live & on demand with Flash. 25+ news channels in 1 place. There is a general consensus the RBA will at least increase rates by the amount of the last rate cut, which was 0.15 percentage points. Mr Oliver believes rates could be 1.5 per cent higher by the end of the year, and 2 per cent higher by mid next year. The RBA is expected to announce its decision on the cash rate on Tuesday, around 2.30pm.

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Image courtesy of "SBS"

Anthony Albanese says Scott Morrison only takes credit for good ... (SBS)

The Coalition is playing down the political impact of a potential interest rate rise, as Labor steps up its attack on Scott Morrison's economic credibility.

"If something good happens in the economy the prime minister takes credit. "If something good happens in the economy the prime minister takes credit. The prime minister is campaigning in the outer Melbourne seat of Dunkley on Tuesday, while Labor leader Anthony Albanese is campaigning on the NSW central coast. "The prime minister wants to pretend that he has absolutely nothing to do with it," he told the Seven Network on Tuesday. If something difficult happens in the economy he takes none of the responsibility, and I think Australians are tired of that." But Mr Albanese said it was "extraordinary" for the prime minister to claim rising inflation and interest rates had nothing to do with politics. The prime minister is campaigning in the outer Melbourne seat of Dunkley on Tuesday, while Labor leader Anthony Albanese is campaigning on the NSW central coast. "The prime minister wants to pretend that he has absolutely nothing to do with it," he told the Seven Network on Tuesday. "Australians know the pressures that we're facing here in Australia are real and they are overwhelmingly being determined by things beyond Australia," he told reporters in Melbourne on Tuesday. If something difficult happens in the economy he takes none of the responsibility, and I think Australians are tired of that." But Mr Albanese said it was "extraordinary" for the prime minister to claim rising inflation and interest rates had nothing to do with politics. "Australians know the pressures that we're facing here in Australia are real and they are overwhelmingly being determined by things beyond Australia," he told reporters in Melbourne on Tuesday.

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Image courtesy of "NEWS.com.au"

What a rate rise will mean for your savings (NEWS.com.au)

The Reserve Bank is expected to raise interest rates today sending fear through millions of mortgage-holders across Australia.

It gives people an opportunity to invest today and then enjoy higher prices down the track should the market come alive. According to Mr Mickenbecker the pain of interest rate rises will certainly hit home buyers. This is consistent with the findings of the Savvy survey. With substantial rate rises on the way, he feels that more Australians will end up spending an increased amount of their income. So it will work its way through the rent market.” Mr Tsouvalas believes as inflation is currently outpacing the rate of interest savings accrue, people with savings could be in fact losing money. Savvy found that over the last four months every major lender has increased its consumer car loan rates. There has already been a slight softening of house prices. Mr Mickenbecker feels that people living off their savings or using them to supplement another source of income such as a pension could potentially be benefited eventually. The survey found that young people aged between 25-44 were the most concerned demographic. Mr Tsouvalas predicts that the interest rate rises for car loans will actually be higher than those of home loans as they tend to be fixed rates for around five years. Will the rate rises affect me?

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Image courtesy of "9News"

Explained: Exactly how much a hike in interest rates will cost you (9News)

Whether rates rise today or not, mortgage repayments are going to get more expensive. Here's by how much.

The information has been prepared without taking into account your personal objectives, financial situation or needs. The information provided on this website is general in nature only and does not constitute personal financial advice. We want to hear from you. Get in touch with reporter Stuart Marsh at [email protected] - Interest rates hiked to 0.35 per cent - Interest rates hiked to 0.35 per cent

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